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【背景】地铁作为中大型城市中长距离出行的重要公共交通工具可以有效解决城市居民的主要通勤需求问题,共享单车作为一种新兴的短距离出行方式,有效填补了“最后一公里”的出行空白,两者之间的相互作用模式直接关系到居民的出行选择以及城市交通的整体运行效率。【目标】探讨如何通过优化建成环境促进共享单车-地铁之间更加和谐且有效的合作与竞争关系(延伸出行、竞争出行、补充出行),从而提升城市交通系统的整体效能和可持续性。【方法】从土地利用特征、交通附属设施属性、社会经济属性等方面,利用停车场数量、土地利用香农熵、平均房价、人口数量等17个建成环境指标作为自变量,以三种出行模式下的共享单车出行量为因变量,构建了基于随机搜索优化超参数的XGBOOST模型,并用SHAP可解释模型进行变量分析。【结果】模型评估结果显示,延伸出行和竞争出行的模型测试集R2分别为0.84和0.82,补充出行的模型R2为0.76。【结论】SHAP进一步揭示了停车场数量、到市中心距离和人口数量对共享单车-地铁竞合关系的非线性影响。停车场数量的影响总体上呈现先降低后上升的趋势,延伸出行模式较为均衡,补充出行模式呈S型增长,达到一定数量后边际效应减弱。到市中心的距离对共享单车使用的影响表现为先增加后减少,延伸出行模式在20 km内需求较高,竞争出行模式随距离增加而衰减,补充出行模式在15 km外接驳需求下降。人口数量对延伸出行和补充出行模式呈S型增长,高密度区域共享单车需求显著增加,而竞争出行模式受人口影响较小,更依赖地铁等公共交通方式。【应用】研究结果为城市交通规划提供参考,特别在停车场较少的区域,可以通过增加共享单车投放来提升短途接驳效率;在20 km以内区域,加强共享单车与地铁接驳服务,有助于优化换乘体验。合理调整建成环境,可提升共享单车使用率,减少对私家车的依赖,降低交通碳排放,促进绿色出行和可持续发展。
Abstract:[Background] As an important mode of public transportation in medium-to large-sized cities, subways effectively address the primary commuting requirements of urban residents over medium to long distances. Meanwhile, bike-sharing, as an emerging short-distance travel mode, provides an essential solution for bridging the “last mile” gap. The interaction patterns between these two modes directly affect the travel choices of residents and the overall efficiency of urban transport systems. [Objective] This study aims to explore how optimizing the built environment can promote a more harmonious and effective cooperative-competitive relationship between bike-sharing systems and subways, which can be categorized into three typical patterns: extension travel, competitive travel, and supplementary travel, thereby enhancing the overall efficiency and sustainability of the urban transportation system. [Method] Based on land-use characteristics, transportation facility attributes,and socioeconomic attributes, 17 built environment indicators, including the number of parking lots,Shannon entropy of land use, average housing price, and population size, are used as independent variables, whereas shared-bike ridership under the three travel modes is adopted as the dependent variable. An XGBOOST model optimized through a random search for hyperparameter tuning was established, and SHAP interpretability analysis was employed for variable importance analysis.[Result] The model evaluation results indicate that the R2 values for the test sets of the extension trip and competition trip models were 0.84 and 0.82, respectively, while the R2 value for the supplementary trip model was 0.76. [Conclusion] SHAP analysis further revealed the nonlinear impact of parking availability, proximity to the city center, and population density on the competitive and cooperative relationships between shared bikes and subway systems. The effect of parking availability first decreases and then increases, with extension travel remaining relatively stable, whereas supplementary travel follows an S-shaped curve, with diminishing marginal effects after reaching a certain threshold. Regarding proximity to the city center, the impact on shared-bike usage initially increased and then decreased. Specifically, the demand for extension travel was higher within 20 km, whereas competitive travel decreased with increasing distance, and the demand for supplementary travel diminished beyond 15 km. In terms of population density, there was an S-shaped growth in the demand for extension and supplementary travel, with a significant increase in shared bike demand in high-density areas. However, competitive travel was less influenced by the population density and depended more on the availability of subways and other public transportation options. [Application] The findings offer valuable insights for urban transportation planning. In areas with fewer parking facilities, increasing shared-bikes deployment can enhance short-distance transfer efficiency. Additionally, in areas within 20 km of the city center, strengthening the integration between shared bikes and subways can significantly improve the transfer experience. By optimizing the built environment, shared-bike usage can be increased, reliance on private cars reduced, traffic carbon emissions minimized, and a more sustainable and green transportation system can be achieved.
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(1)OpenStreetMap(OSM)是一个由全球志愿者共同协作创建的免费开源的地图平台(https://www.openstreetmap.org),每个人都可在该平台上获取可编辑的地图数据,并且可以自由使用这些数据进行创作、分享以及改进,从而促进地理信息的开放与共享。
(1)LandScan官网是访问全球人口分布数据库的主要入口(https://landscan.ornl.gov/),是由美国橡树岭国家实验室开发的一个高分辨率全球人口动态数据集。该数据库提供了详细的人口分布信息,空间分辨率为30弧秒(约1 km2),覆盖了全球范围。
基本信息:
DOI:10.19961/j.cnki.1672-4747.2025.02.001
中图分类号:U12;F572;F724.6
引用信息:
[1]马健兵,张伊涵,张永琪.建成环境视角下共享单车与地铁的竞合关系非线性影响分析[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2026,24(02):22-37.DOI:10.19961/j.cnki.1672-4747.2025.02.001.
基金信息:
四川省重点研发计划资助项目(2023YFS0192)
2025-04-14
2025-04-14
2025-04-14