交通运输工程与信息学报

[1] IEA. IEA Energy and Carbon Tracker 2022[EB/OL].(2022-09-15)[2023-05-15]. https://www. iea. org/dataand-statistics/data-product/iea-energy-and-carbon-tracker-2022.

[2] BAI C, ZHOU L, XIA M, et al. Analysis of the spatial association network structure of China’s transportation carbon emissions and its driving factors[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2020, 253:109765.

[3]张翠菊.中国碳排放强度影响因素、收敛性及溢出性研究[D].重庆:重庆大学, 2017.ZHANG Cuiju. A study on the influence factors, convergency and spillover effect of China’s carbon emission intensity[D]. Chongqing:Chongqing University, 2017.

[4]朱顺应,廖凌云,吴景安,等.城市客运交通工具碳排放效率差异——以襄阳市为例[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2022, 22(4):158-166.ZHU Shunying, LIAO Lingyun, WU Jingan, et al. Urban passenger transportation mode carbon emission efficiency difference:a case study of Xiangyang city[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2022, 22(4):158-166.

[5]邵海琴,王兆峰.中国交通碳排放效率的空间关联网络结构及其影响因素[J].中国人口·资源与环境, 2021, 31(4):32-41.SHAO Haiqin, WANG Zhaofeng. Spatial network structure of transportation carbon emissions efficiency in China and its influencing factors[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2021, 31(4):32-41.

[6]周琪,梁肖,黄俊生,等.城市轨道交通碳排放效率与影响因素研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2023, 23(1):30-38, 85.ZHOU Qi, LIANG Xiao, HUANG Junsheng, et al. Carbon emission efficiency and influencing factors analysis of urban rail transits[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2023, 23(1):30-38, 85.

[7]张晔,宋国华,尹航,等.综合交通运输系统碳排放预测的不确定性分析[J].交通运输工程与信息学报, 2023,21(1):64-79.ZHANG Ye, SONG Guohua, YIN Hang, et al. Uncertainty analysis of future carbon emissions of integrated transportation system[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2023, 21(1):64-79.

[8]单肖年,胡颖,寇泷丹,等.碳达峰目标下城市公共交通系统低碳转型路径[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2023, 21(3):1-12.SHAN Xiaonian, HU Ying, KOU Longdan, et al. Low-carbon transformation path for urban public transportation system with carbon peak target[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2023, 21(3):1-12.

[9]王晓宁,刘海洋,李亭慧,等. CMEM用于我国柴油公交车排放计算[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报, 2012, 44(6):78-81.WANG Xiaoning, LIU Haiyang, LI Tinghui, et al. The emission model of diesel bus based on CMEM in China[J]. Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology, 2012, 44(6):78-81.

[10] HUANG S, XIAO X, GUO H. A novel method for carbon emission forecasting based on EKC hypothesis and nonlinear multivariate grey model:evidence from transportation sector[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2022, 29(40):60687-60711.

[11] LI W, LI H, ZHANG H, et al. The analysis of CO2emissions and reduction potential in China’s transport sector[J]. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2016, 2016:1-12.

[12] HOU L, WANG Y, HU L, et al. Economic growth and carbon emissions analysis based on tapio-ekc coupled integration and scenario simulation:a case study of China’s transportation industry[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2023:1-27.

[13] WANG M, ZHU C, CHENG Y, et al. The influencing factors of carbon emissions in the railway transportation industry based on extended LMDI decomposition method:evidence from the BRIC countries[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2023, 30(6):15490-15504.

[14] GUO Y, TONG Q, LI Z, et al. Research on carbon emission quota of railway in China from the perspective of equity and efficiency[J]. Sustainability, 2022, 14(21):13789.

[15] AL-OSAIMI S, SREEKANTH K J, AL-FORAIH R, et al. Trends in road transportation fuel consumption and carbon emissions:a scenario analysis using system dynamic modelling[J]. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 2020, 39(4):349-361.

[16] IPCC. 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories[EB/OL].[2023-6-12]. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/chinese/index.html.

[17] O’DRISCOLL R, APSIMON H M, OXLEY T, et al. A Portable Emissions Measurement System(PEMS)study of NOxand primary NO2emissions from Euro 6 diesel passenger cars and comparison with COPERT emission factors[J]. Atmospheric Environment, 2016, 145:81-91.

[18]沈岩,武彤冉,闫静,等.基于COPERT模型北京市机动车大气污染物和二氧化碳排放研究[J].环境工程技术学报, 2021, 11(6):1075-1082.SHEN Yan, WU Tongran, YAN Jing, et al. Investigation on air pollutants and carbon dioxide emissions from motor vehicles in Beijing based on COPERT model[J].Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2021, 11(6):1075-1082.

[19]丘福明.基于COPERT模型的道路交通部门节能减排潜力及其路径研究——以京津冀地区为例[D].天津:天津大学, 2018.QIU Fuming. Pathways for energy conservation and emissions mitigation in urban road transport base on COPERT model:a case study of the Jing-Jin-Ji area[D].Tianjin:Tianjin University, 2018.

[20]程颖,于雷,王宏图,等.基于PEMS的MOBILE与COPERT排放模型对比研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2011, 11(3):176-181.CHENG Ying, YU Lei, WANG Hongtu, et al. Comparative study of MOBILE and COPERT emission models based on PEMS[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2011, 11(3):176-181.

[21]高俊,胡辉,邢攀,等.基于MOBILE 6.2模型的武汉市机动车污染物排放特征分析[J].太原理工大学学报,2018, 49(1):73-78.GAO Jun, HU Hui, XING Pan, et al. Emission characteristics of pollutants from motor vehicles in Wuhan based on MOBILE 6.2[J]. Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology, 2018, 49(1):73-78.

[22] LIU H, CHEN X, WANG Y, et al. Vehicle emission and near-road air quality modeling for Shanghai, China[J].Transportation Research Record:Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2013, 2340(1):38-48.

[23]刘强.基于MOVES的西安市出租车污染物排放分析[J].环境监测管理与技术, 2015, 27(2):57-59.LIU Qiang. Analysis of taxi emissions in Xi’an city based on MOVES[J]. The Administration and Technique of Environmental Monitoring, 2015, 27(2):57-59.

[24] GUAN Y, SHAN Y, HUANG Q, et al. Assessment to China’s recent emission pattern shifts[J]. Earth’s Future, 2021, 9(11):e2021EF002241.

[25] SHAN Y, HUANG Q, GUAN D, et al. China CO2emission accounts 2016—2017[J]. Scientific Data, 2020, 7:54.

[26] BAI C, CHEN Z, WANG D. Transportation carbon emission reduction potential and mitigation strategy in China[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2023, 873:162074.

[27] ZENG Q H, HE L Y. Study on the synergistic effect of air pollution prevention and carbon emission reduction in the context of“dual carbon”:evidence from China’s transport sector[J]. Energy Policy, 2023, 173:113370.

[28]刘妍慧,栗洋.湖北省交通运输业碳排放测算及影响因素分解[J].统计与决策, 2022, 38(15):88-92.

[29]胡程,丁正山,穆学青,等.长江经济带旅游交通碳排放时空演变及驱动因素[J].南京师大学报(自然科学版), 2022, 45(1):40-48.HU Cheng, DING Zhengshan, MU Xueqing, et al. The spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of carbon dioxide emissions from tourism transportation in the Yangtze River economic belt[J]. Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2022, 45(1):40-48.

[30] WANG Z, CHEN F, FUJIYAMA T. Carbon emission from urban passenger transportation in Beijing[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment,2015, 41:217-227.

[31]储诚山,陈洪波,陈军.城市道路客运交通碳排放核算及实证分析[J].生态经济, 2015, 31(9):56-60.CHU Chengshan, CHEN Hongbo, CHEN Jun. Empirical analysis and accounting of carbon emissions for urban road passenger transportation[J]. Ecological Economy,2015, 31(9):56-60.

[32] LEJRI D, CAN A, SCHIPER N, et al. Accounting for traffic speed dynamics when calculating COPERT and PHEM pollutant emissions at the urban scale[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment,2018, 63:588-603.

[33] DEY S, CAULFIELD B, GHOSH B. Modelling uncertainty of vehicular emissions inventory:a case study of Ireland[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, 213:1115-1126.

[34]韩星,张旭. MOBILE计算中国机动车CO排放因子时的计算年确定[J].环境科学与技术, 2010, 33(5):183-185, 190.HAN Xing, ZHANG Xu. Model year of MOBILE to estimate road CO vehicle emission factor[J]. Environmental Science&Technology, 2010, 33(5):183-185, 190.

[35] PERUGU H. Emission modelling of light-duty vehicles in India using the revamped VSP-based MOVES model:the case study of Hyderabad[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment, 2019, 68:150-163.

[36]单肖年,刘皓冰,张小丽,等.基于MOVES模型本地化的轻型车排放因子估计方法[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 49(8):1135-1143, 1201.SHAN Xiaonian, LIU Haobing, ZHANG Xiaoli, et al.Localization of light-duty vehicle emission factor estimation based on MOVES[J]. Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science), 2021, 49(8):1135-1143, 1201.

[37] COMMONER B. Making peace with the planet[M].New York:Pantheon Books, 1990.

[38]王永刚,王旭,孙长虹,等. IPAT及其扩展模型的应用研究进展[J].应用生态学报, 2015, 26(3):949-957.WANG Yonggang, WANG Xu, SUN Changhong, et al.Research progress on the application of IPAT model and its variants[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2015, 26(3):949-957.

[39] YORK R, ROSA E A, DIETZ T. STIRPAT, IPAT and ImPACT:analytic tools for unpacking the driving forces of environmental impacts[J]. Ecological Economics, 2003,46(3):351-365.

[40] ANDRéS L, PADILLA E. Driving factors of GHG emissions in the EU transport activity[J]. Transport Policy,2018, 61:60-74.

[41] LIU J, LI S, JI Q. Regional differences and driving factors analysis of carbon emission intensity from transport sector in China[J]. Energy, 2021, 224:120178.

[42]闫树熙,陈璐.交通碳排放影响因素分析：以西安市为例[J].统计与决策, 2020, 36(4):62-66.

[43] Kaya. Impact of carbon dioxide emission on GNP growth:Interpretation of proposed scenarios[R]. Paris:IPCC Energy and Industry Subgrou, 1989.

[44]马慧强,刘嘉乐,弓志刚.山西省旅游交通碳排放测度及其演变机理[J].经济地理, 2019, 39(4):223-231.MA Huiqiang, LIU Jiale, GONG Zhigang. Carbon emission and evolution mechanism of tourism transportation in Shanxi Province[J]. Economic Geography, 2019, 39(4):223-231.

[45] LU S, JIANG H, LIU Y, et al. Regional disparities and influencing factors of average CO2emissions from transportation industry in Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment, 2017, 57:112-123.

[46] JEAN E. Decoupling analysis of CO2emissions from transport sector in Cameroon[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2019, 51:101732.

[47] HWANG Y, UM J S, HWANG J, et al. Evaluating the causal relations between the kaya identity index and ODIAC-based fossil fuel CO2flux[J]. Energies, 2020, 13(22):6009.

[48]马金玲,刘永红,李丽,等.基于主成分分析法的城市客运交通碳排放影响因素研究[J].环境污染与防治,2018, 40(10):1188-1192, 1202.MA Jinling, LIU Yonghong, LI Li, et al. Research on the influencing factors of carbon emission in urban passenger transport based on principal component analysis[J].Environmental Pollution&Control, 2018, 40(10):1188-1192, 1202.

[49] ZHU C, GAO D. A research on the factors influencing carbon emission of transportation industry in“the Belt and Road initiative”countries based on panel data[J]. Energies, 2019, 12(12):2405.

[50]朱长征.基于协整分析的我国交通运输业碳排放影响因素研究[J].公路交通科技, 2015, 32(1):153-158.Zhu Changzheng. Study on influencing factors of carbon emission in transport industry based on cointegration analysis[J]. Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, 2015, 32(1):153-158.

[51]王靖添,马晓明.中国交通运输碳排放影响因素研究:基于双层次计量模型分析[J].北京大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 57(6):1133-1142.WANG Jingtian, MA Xiaoming. Influencing factors of carbon emissions from transportation in China:empirical analysis based on two-level econometrics method[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2021, 57(6):1133-1142.

[52] ZHAO M, SUN T. Dynamic spatial spillover effect of new energy vehicle industry policies on carbon emission of transportation sector in China[J]. Energy Policy,2022, 165:112991.

[53] LI H, LU Y, ZHANG J, et al. Trends in road freight transportation carbon dioxide emissions and policies in China[J]. Energy Policy, 2013, 57:99-106.

[54] YANG W, LI T, CAO X. Examining the impacts of socio-economic factors, urban form and transportation development on CO2emissions from transportation in China:a panel data analysis of China’s Provinces[J]. Habitat International, 2015, 49:212-220.

[55] WANG B, SUN Y, CHEN Q, et al. Determinants analysis of carbon dioxide emissions in passenger and freight transportation sectors in China[J]. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2018, 47:127-132.

[56]董梦如,韩增林,郭建科.中国海洋交通运输业碳排放效率测度及影响因素分析[J].海洋通报, 2020, 39(2):169-177.DONG Mengru, HAN Zenglin, GUO Jianke. Measurement of carbon emission efficiency and its influencing factors in China’s marine transportation industry[J]. Marine Science Bulletin, 2020, 39(2):169-177.

[57] YU J, SHAO C, XUE C, et al. China’s aircraft-related CO2emissions:decomposition analysis, decoupling status, and future trends[J]. Energy Policy, 2020, 138:111215.

[58] HAN R, LI L, ZHANG X, et al. Spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and decoupling analysis of influencing factors of China’s aviation carbon emissions[J].Chinese Geographical Science, 2022, 32(2):218-236.

[59] QUAN C, CHENG X, YU S, et al. Analysis on the influencing factors of carbon emission in China’s logistics industry based on LMDI method[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2020, 734:138473.

[60]王勇,李红昌,郭雪萌,等.我国铁路运营二氧化碳排放影响因素研究[J].铁道学报, 2021, 43(6):189-195.WANG Yong, LI Hongchang, GUO Xuemeng, et al.Study on influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissions from railway operations in China[J]. Journal of the China Railway Society, 2021, 43(6):189-195.

[61]张宏钧,王利宁,陈文颖.公路与铁路交通碳排放影响因素[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2017, 57(4):443-448.ZHANG Hongjun, WANG Lining, CHEN Wenying. Decomposition analysis of CO2emissions from road and rail transport systems[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2017, 57(4):443-448.

[62] DANISH, BALOCH M A, SUAD S. Modeling the impact of transport energy consumption on CO2emission in Pakistan:evidence from ARDL approach[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2018, 25(10):9461-9473.

[63] FAN F, LEI Y. Decomposition analysis of energy-related carbon emissions from the transportation sector in Beijing[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment, 2016, 42:135-145.

[64] SUN H, LI M, XUE Y. Examining the factors influencing transport sector CO2emissions and their efficiency in central China[J]. Sustainability, 2019, 11(17):4712.

[65] LIU Z, QIU Z. A systematic review of transportation carbon emissions based on CiteSpace[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2023, 30(19):54362-54384.

[66] TAPIO P. Towards a theory of decoupling:degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001[J]. Transport Policy, 2005,12(2):137-151.

[67] FAN F, LEI Y. Responsive relationship between energyrelated carbon dioxide emissions from the transportation sector and economic growth in Beijing—based on decoupling theory[J]. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 2017, 11(10):764-775.

[68] WU Y, ZHU Q, ZHONG L, et al. Energy consumption in the transportation sectors in China and the United States:a longitudinal comparative study[J]. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2019, 51:349-360.

[69] WANG L, FAN J, WANG J, et al. Spatio-temporal characteristics of the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in China’s transportation industry[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2020, 27(26):32962-32979.

[70] ANG B W. Decomposition analysis for policymaking in energy:which is the preferred method?[J]. Energy Policy, 2004,32(9):1131-1139.

[71] ZHU C, YANG S, LIU P. Study on the factors influencing on the carbon emissions of Shaanxi Province’s transportation industry in China[J]. Sustainability, 2022, 14(14):8610.

[72] SONG Y, ZHANG M, SHAN C. Research on the decoupling trend and mitigation potential of CO2emissions from China’s transport sector[J]. Energy, 2019, 183:837-843.

[73] GUO M, MENG J. Exploring the driving factors of carbon dioxide emission from transport sector in BeijingTianjin-Hebei region[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2019, 226:692-705.

[74]卢建锋,韩霜,康家华.区域交通运输业碳排放变化的驱动因素分解分析[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2016, 14(2):56-62.LU Jianfeng, HAN Shuang, KANG Jiahua. Driving factor decomposition analysis of carbon emissions for regional transportation[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2016, 14(2):56-62.

[75] WANG Y, ZHOU Y, ZHU L, et al. Influencing factors and decoupling elasticity of China’s transportation carbon emissions[J]. Energies, 2018, 11(5):1157.

[76] SOBRINO N, MONZON A. The impact of the economic crisis and policy actions on GHG emissions from road transport in Spain[J]. Energy Policy, 2014, 74:486-498.

[77] LIAN L, LIN J, YAO R, et al. The CO2emission changes in China’s transportation sector during 1992-2015:a structural decomposition analysis[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2020, 27(9):9085-9098.

[78] SARDAR M S, ASGHAR N, MUNIR M, et al. Moderation of services’EKC through transportation competitiveness:PQR model in global prospective[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 20(1):293.

[79]范育洁,曲建升,张洪芬,等.西北五省区交通碳排放现状及影响因素研究[J].生态经济, 2019, 35(9):32-37, 67.FAN Yujie, QU Jiansheng, ZHANG Hongfen, et al.Study on the current situation and influence factors of transportation carbon emissions in five northwest provinces[J]. Ecological Economy, 2019, 35(9):32-37, 67.

[80]左大杰,戴文涛.基于通径分析的四川省交通碳排放驱动机理研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2018, 18(2):230-235.ZUO Dajie, DAI Wentao. Driving mechanism of traffic carbon emissions in Sichuan Province based on path analysis[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2018, 18(2):230-235.

[81]曾晓莹,邱荣祖,林丹婷,等.中国交通碳排放及影响因素时空异质性[J].中国环境科学, 2020, 40(10):4304-4313.ZENG Xiaoying, QIU Rongzu, LIN Danting, et al. Spatio-temporal heterogeneity of transportation carbon emissions and its influencing factors in China[J]. China Environmental Science, 2020, 40(10):4304-4313.

[82] GEORGATZI V V, STAMBOULIS Y, VETSIKAS A.Examining the determinants of CO2emissions caused by the transport sector:empirical evidence from 12 European countries[J]. Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020,65:11-20.

[83] WANG H, CAO R, ZENG W. Multi-agent based and system dynamics models integrated simulation of urban commuting relevant carbon dioxide emission reduction policy in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2020,272:122620.

[84] HOU X, LV T, XU J, et al. Electrification transition and carbon emission reduction of urban passenger transportation systems—a case study of Shenzhen, China[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2023, 93:104511.

[85] MAI L, CHEN H. Study on transportation energy carbon emission based on system dynamics[C]//2021 9th International Conference on Traffic and Logistic Engineering(ICTLE). Macau:IEEE, 2021:102-107.

[86] CHENG Y H, CHANG Y H, LU I J. Urban transportation energy and carbon dioxide emission reduction strategies[J]. Applied Energy, 2015, 157:953-973.

[87]尹鹏,段佩利,陈才.中国交通运输碳排放格局及其与经济增长的关系研究[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2016, 30(5):7-12.YIN Peng, DUAN Peili, CHEN Cai. Pattern of transportation carbon emission and relationship with transportation economic growth in China[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2016, 30(5):7-12.

[88] LIU M, WANG J, WEN J, et al. Carbon emission and structure analysis of transport industry based on inputoutput method:China as an example[J]. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 2022, 33:168-188.

[89] LIN B, BENJAMIN N I. Influencing factors on carbon emissions in China transport industry. A new evidence from quantile regression analysis[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 150:175-187.

[90] UMAR M, JI X, KIRIKKALELI D, et al. The imperativeness of environmental quality in the United States transportation sector amidst biomass-fossil energy consumption and growth[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2021, 285:124863.

[91] ACHOUR H, BELLOUMI M. Decomposing the influencing factors of energy consumption in Tunisian transportation sector using the LMDI method[J]. Transport Policy, 2016, 52:64-71.

[92]高妍南,郝晴.低碳经济下城市交通系统动力学模型及政策仿真[J].公路交通科技, 2021, 38(3):96-104.GAO Yannan, HAO Qing. A system dynamics model and simulation of policy for urban traffic system under low carbon economy[J]. Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, 2021, 38(3):96-104.

[93]王丽萍,刘明浩.基于投入产出法的中国物流业碳排放测算及影响因素研究[J].资源科学, 2018, 40(1):195-206.WANG Liping, LIU Minghao. Carbon emission measurement for China’s logistics industry and its influence factors based on input-output method[J]. Resources Science, 2018, 40(1):195-206.

[94] CIFUENTES F, GONZáLEZ C M, TREJOS E M, et al.Comparison of top-down and bottom-up road transport emissions through high-resolution air quality modeling in a city of complex orography[J]. Atmosphere, 2021, 12(11):1372.