交通运输工程与信息学报

论文讨论了机场航班延误的严重性。基于机场航班排序理论的研究,采用马尔可夫(Markov)链的C-K方程理论建立机场服务队列模型。用模型对飞机进场和离场的时间延误进行预测,仿真实验再现了时间延误概率分布图。由此证明,该模型能直观反映航班延误情况。进一步根据延误情况去制定航班排序策略,是一个有效的办法。

The great impaction of delays of airport scheduling was discussed in this paper.Based on the research of the theory about flight sequencing,using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation theory of Markov chain,an airport's serving queue model was established.This model predicted the delay time of flights landing and taking off,and the simulation experiment showed the distribution of time delaying probability.It was proved that this model could reflect the delays of flight intuitively.Furthermore,the flight ordering strategy will be formulated according to the delaying condition.