西安建筑科技大学,城市发展与现代交通学院;长安大学,运输工程学院;中国电力工程顾问集团西南电力设计院有限公司;
为提升城市机动车交通精细化管控水平,考虑需求管理和区域空间形状在城市机动车出行时空特性中的影响,基于建成环境7D要素构建建成环境对城市机动车出行时空异质影响模型,探究建成环境对城市机动车出行时空分布特性的作用机理。本文将上海市划分为225个交通小区,采集约50万辆机动车动态运行数据分析出行时空特性,在建成环境5D要素基础上,将轨道交通数据纳入考量,计算公交站点和线路密度指标评估公共交通可达性要素。为反映动态交通需求变化,考虑空间异质复杂性,加入需求管理要素和区域空间形状要素形成7D要素,分别采用停车场密度和交通小区空间形状指数指标作为衡量指标,并以机动车出行量作为因变量,建成环境7D要素作为自变量,进行相关性分析和多重共线性检验。应用最小二乘回归模型和地理加权回归模型、时空地理加权回归模型构建建成环境对城市机动车出行影响模型,针对工作日和非工作日两个时段的回归系数进行空间可视化分析,探究建成环境对城市机动车出行的时空异质性影响。结果表明,对比OLS、GWR和GTWR模型,GTWR模型具有更好的拟合效果。人口密度、公共交通线路密度和公共交通站点密度、到城市CBD的距离、停车场密度、交通小区空间形状指数对城市机动车出行为抑制作用,土地利用混合熵指数、道路网密度对城市机动车出行为促进作用。研究为优化城市机动车出行模式和区域交通精细化管理提供了依据。
495 | 0 | 163 |
下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
[1]陈坚,刘柯良,李武,等.社区建成环境对机动车行驶里程影响的空间异质性模型[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2022, 22(6):124-133.CHEN Jian, LIU Keliang, LI Wu, et al. Spatial heterogeneity model of impact of community built environment on vehicle miles traveled[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2022,22(6):124-133.
[2]陈坚,刘柯良,邸晶,等.建成环境对城市停车需求影响的非线性模型[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21(4):197-203.CHEN Jian, LIU Keliang, DI Jing, et al. Nonlinear model of impact of built environment on urban parking demand[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2021, 21(4):197-203.
[3]李聪颖,袁锴璐,张洪涛,等.考虑占用率的大型停车库泊位动态分配模型[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2024, 22(3):181-195.LI Congying, YUAN Kailu, ZHANG Hongtao,et al. Dynamic allocation model of large parking garage berths considering occupancy rate[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2024, 22(3):181-195.
[4]王正武,向梓源,刘鑫.基于系统动力学模型的城市交通拥堵治理策略研究[J].长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版), 2022, 19(1):81-88.WANG Zhengwu, XIANG Ziyuan, LIU Xin. Research on management strategy of urban traffic congestion based on system dynamics model[J]. Journal of Changsha University of Science&Technology(Natural Science), 2022, 19(1):81-88.
[5]李聪颖,任博冉,周勋朝,等.基于Stackelberg博弈的公共停车场停车收费定价模型构建[J].交通运输工程与信息学报, 2023, 21(4):1-13.LI Congying, REN Boran, ZHOU Xunzhao, et al. Construction of pricing model for public parking based on Stackelberg game[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2023, 21(4):1-13.
[6]马健霄,赵飞燕,尹超英,等.建成环境和出租车需求对网约车出行需求影响的时空间分异模式[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2023, 23(5):136-145.MA Jianxiao, ZHAO Feiyan, YIN Chaoying, et al. Spatialtemporal heterogeneity effects of built environment and taxi demand on ride-hailing demand[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2023, 23(5):136-145.
[7]杨西宁,邓琼华,杨硕.建成环境对居民出行方式选择影响效应的异质性研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2019, 17(2):128-137.YANG Xining, DENG Qionghua, YANG Shuo. Investigation of heterogeneous effects of built environment on a household member’s travel mode choice[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2019, 17(2):128-137.
[8] CERVERO R, KOCKELMAN K. Travel demand and the3Ds:density, diversity, and design[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment, 1997, 2(3):199-219.
[9]张怡文.大城市建成环境对居民通勤方式选择的影响机制研究——以西安为例[D].西安:西北大学,2021.ZHANG Yi-wen. The impact of built environment on commute mode choice in big cities—a case of Xi’an[D].Xi’an:Northwest University, 2021.
[10]石庄彬,鄢春花,何明卫,等.建成环境对老年人出行方式选择的非线性影响[J].交通运输工程与信息学报, 2023, 21(1):49-63.SHI Zuangbin, YAN Chunhua, HE Mingwei, et al. Nonlinear effects of built environment on travel mode choices for elderly[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2023, 21(1):49-63.
[11]吴静娴,申华鹏,韩印,等.考虑城市建成环境非线性作用的通勤时间模型[J].吉林大学学报(工学版),2022,52(11):2568-2573.WU Jingxian, SHEN Huapeng, HAN Yin, et al. Residents'commuting time model under the nonlinear impact of urban built environment[J]. Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition), 2022, 52(11):2568-2573.
[12]张涛,王青青,程龙,等.考虑建成环境和社会-心理因素的老年人休闲散步意向研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报, 2024, 22(3):152-165.ZHANG Tao,WANG Qingqing, CHENG Long,et al.Research on the intention of leisure-time walking in older adults that considers built environment and social-psychological factors[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2024, 22(3):152-165.
[13]徐猛,高自友.基于可交易出行路票的城市交通需求管理[J].交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21(5):12-21.XU Meng, GAO Ziyou. Tradable credits scheme for urban travel demand management[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2021, 21(5):12-21.
[14]尹超英,邵春福,王晓全.考虑停车可用性的建成环境对小汽车通勤出行的影响[J].吉林大学学报(工学版),2019, 49(3):714-719.YIN Chaoying, SHAO Chunfu, WANG Xiaoquan. Influence of urban built environment on car commuting considering parking availability[J]. Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition), 2019, 49(3):714-719.
[15]彭虓,郭忠,周康,等.城市空间异质性视角下的城市公共交通系统发展[M].北京:人民交通出版社, 2021.
[16]袁浩,任杰,杨睿,等.考虑空间异质性的城市建成环境对交通拥堵状态的影响[J].武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版), 2021, 45(5):840-845.YUAN Hao, REN Jie, YANG Rui, et al. Influence of urban building environment on traffic congestion considering spatial heterogeneity[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Transportation Science&Engineering), 2021, 45(5):840-845.
[17]陈飞,李永贺,张帅,等.城市形态结构对空间紧凑发展的影响机制分析——以上海为例[J].地理科学,2023, 43(5):763-773.CHEN Fei, LI Yonghe, ZHANG Shuai, et al. Impact of urban morphological structure on space compact development:a case study of Shanghai[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2023, 43(5):763-773.
[18] GOLUB G H, VAN LOAN C F. An analysis of the total least squares problem[J]. SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis, 1980, 17(6):883-893.
[19] BRUNSDON C, FOTHERINGHAM A S, CHARLTON M E. Geographically weighted regression:a method for exploring spatial nonstationarity[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1996, 28(4):281-298.
[20]耿雪琳,许伦辉.城市建成环境对网约车客流的影响研究[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 46(9):1247-1253.GENG Xuelin, XU Lunhui. Influence of urban built environment on online car-hailing passenger flow[J]. Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science), 2023, 46(9):1247-1253.
[21] BAO J, SHI X M, ZHANG H. Spatial analysis of bikeshare ridership with smart card and POI data using geographically weighted regression method[J]. IEEE Access, 2018,6:76049-76059.
[22]沈杨,汪聪聪,高超,等.基于城市化的浙江省湾区经济带碳排放时空分布特征及影响因素分析[J].自然资源学报, 2020, 35(2):329-342.SHEN Yang, WANG Congcong, GAO Chao,et al. Spatio-temporal distribution and its influencing factors of carbon emissions in economic zone of Zhejiang Bay Area based on urbanization[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020, 35(2):329-342.
[23]许嘉俊,杨晓军,李睿.城市居民生活碳排放及影响因素的时空异质性[J].中国环境科学, 2024,44(3):1732-1742.XU Jiajun, YANG Xiaojun, LI Rui. The spatial and temporal heterogeneity of carbon emission and its driving forces in urban households[J]. China Environmental Science, 2024,44(3):1732-1742.
[24]尹庆民,林茵茵.基于GTWR模型的数字经济对经济高质量发展的时空效应研究[J].资源与产业, 2024, 26(1):86-99.YIN Qingmin, LIN Yinyin. Temporal-spatial effects of digital economy on high-quality economic development based on gtwr model[J]. Resources&Industries, 2024,26(1):86-99.
[25]孙裔煜,高静,仝德,等.基于GTWR的广东省乡村聚落规模时空演变研究[J].地理科学, 2023, 43(7):1249-1258.SUN Yiyu, GAO Jing, TONG De, et al. Spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of rural settlements in Guangdong Province based on GTWR model[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2023, 43(7):1249-1258.
[26]徐标,路庆昌.共享单车停车需求的多尺度时空影响因素[J].浙江大学学报(工学版), 2023, 57(2):380-391.XU Biao, LU Qingchang. Multi-scale spatiotemporal influencing factors of bike-sharing parking demand[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University(Engineering Science), 2023,57(2):380-391.
[27]宁江.建成环境对城市轨道交通客流特征影响研究[D].兰州:兰州交通大学, 2023.NING Jiang. Exploring the influence of built environment on ridership characteristics of urban rail transit[D].Lanzhou:Lanzhou Jiaotong University, 2023.
[28]黄文珂.多元回归建模过程中共线性的诊断与解决方法[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学, 2012.HUANG Wenke. The diagnosis and process solutions in multicollinearity of multiple regression model[D]. Harbin:Harbin Institute of Technology, 2012.
[29]张戎,周菁楠,王婷.上海市停车需求管理政策导向及保障机制[J].综合运输, 2014(12):23-28.
[30] GUO Z. Does residential parking supply affect household car ownership? The case of New York City[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2013, 26:18-28.
[31] WEINBERGER R. Death by a thousand curb-cuts:Evidence on the effect of minimum parking requirements on the choice to drive[J]. Transport Policy, 2012, 20(1):93-102.
[32] CHATMAN D G. Does TOD Need the T?[J]. Journal of the American Planning Association, 2013, 79(1):17-31.
[33]曹新宇.社区建成环境和交通行为研究回顾与展望:以美国为鉴[J].国际城市规划, 2015, 30(4):46-52.CAO Xinyu. Examining the relationship between neighborhood built environment and travel behavior:a review from the US perspective[J]. Urban Planning International, 2015, 30(4):46-52.
[34]肖燕婷,田铮,魏岳嵩.时空地理加权回归模型的时空非平稳性检验[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2013, 33(6):1537-1542.XIAO Yanting, TIAN Zheng, WEI Yuesong. Testing for spatial-temporal nonstationarity based on geographically and temporally weighted regression model[J]. Systems Engineering—Theory&Practice, 2013, 33(6):1537-1542.
[35]胡晓伟,李重慧,安实.考虑多主体利益的城市停车PPP项目定价模型[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2023, 21(1):113-124.HU Xiaowei, LI Chonghui, AN Shi. Pricing model of urban parking project in public-private partnership mode considering interests of multiple participants[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information, 2023, 21(1):113-124.
[36] LIU H, ZHANG W, WANG S, et al. Exploring the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of freeway secondary crashes using GTWR model[J]. Journal of Transportation Safety&Security, 2024, 16(3):323-346.
[37] CHEN Z, SUN L, ZI C, et al. From space to service:Measuring the accessibility in a space-time heterogeneity perspective[J]. Cities, 2024, 153:105314.
基本信息:
DOI:10.19961/j.cnki.1672-4747.2024.08.009
中图分类号:U491
引用信息:
[1]李聪颖,吴佳西,张洪涛等.建成环境对城市机动车出行时空异质影响研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2024,22(04):52-66.DOI:10.19961/j.cnki.1672-4747.2024.08.009.
基金信息:
国家自然科学基金青年项目(51408460);; 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2020JM-478,2017JM5047)